Outbreak Management for MCCQE1
Introduction
Outbreak management is a critical competency within the Public Health and Population Health domains of the MCCQE1. As a future Canadian physician, you are expected to embody the CanMEDS roles of Medical Expert (diagnosing and treating) and Health Advocate (protecting community health).
Understanding how to investigate and control an outbreak is not just for public health officers; clinicians are often the “first receivers” who identify the signal amidst the noise. This guide provides a structured approach to outbreak management, tailored for MCCQE1 preparation.
CanMEDS Connection
Health Advocate & Leader: Physicians must recognize patterns of disease, report reportable diseases to local public health units, and collaborate in the management of health emergencies.
Core Definitions
Before diving into the steps of investigation, clarify these epidemiological terms essential for the MCCQE1.
| Term | Definition | Canadian Context Example |
|---|---|---|
| Endemic | The constant presence of a disease within a geographic area or population group. | Seasonal influenza (during winter months). |
| Epidemic | An increase in the number of cases of a disease above what is normally expected in that population. | The 2009 H1N1 influenza epidemic. |
| Pandemic | An epidemic that has spread over several countries or continents, usually affecting a large number of people. | COVID-19. |
| Outbreak | Same definition as epidemic, but often used for a more limited geographic area. | Norovirus in a specific Long-Term Care (LTC) facility. |
10 Steps of Outbreak Investigation
The MCCQE1 often tests the sequence of these steps. While in practice steps may occur simultaneously, for exam purposes, knowing the logical order is crucial.
Step 1: Confirm the Existence of an Outbreak
Do the observed numbers exceed the expected numbers?
- Compare: Current incidence vs. historical baseline (surveillance data).
- Artifacts: Rule out changes in reporting procedures, diagnostic criteria, or increased awareness.
Step 2: Confirm the Diagnosis
Verify the clinical problem.
- Review clinical findings and history.
- Secure laboratory confirmation for a sample of cases (you do not need to test everyone once the pathogen is known).
- Key Concept: “Epidemiologically linked” cases can be counted without lab confirmation during an established outbreak.
Step 3: Define a Case and Count Cases
Create a Case Definition. This standardizes who is considered “ill” for the investigation.
Levels of Case Definition
- Suspected: Clinical symptoms compatible with the disease.
- Probable: Clinical symptoms + epidemiological link (e.g., ate at the restaurant).
- Confirmed: Clinical symptoms + laboratory verification.
Step 4: Descriptive Epidemiology (Time, Place, Person)
Characterize the outbreak.
- Time: Construct an Epidemic Curve (histogram of cases over time).
- Place: Spot maps (clustering of cases).
- Person: Age, sex, occupation, exposures.
Step 5: Generate Hypotheses
Based on descriptive data, what is the likely source?
- Example: “The outbreak is likely caused by Salmonella enteritidis from the potato salad served at the wedding.”
Step 6: Test Hypotheses (Analytical Epidemiology)
Conduct a study to confirm the link.
- Cohort Study: Used for a well-defined population (e.g., wedding guests, cruise ship).
- Case-Control Study: Used for an undefined population (e.g., community-wide outbreak).
Step 7: Compare with Environmental/Lab Studies
- Test food samples, water sources, or environmental surfaces.
- Note: Lab results often lag behind epidemiological associations. Do not wait for lab results to implement control measures if the epi link is strong.
Step 8: Implement Control Measures
This is the ultimate goal. Interventions can be directed at the:
- Source: Remove contaminated food, treat infected carrier.
- Transmission: Hand hygiene, masking, vector control.
- Host: Vaccination, chemoprophylaxis (e.g., Tamiflu in LTC).
Step 9: Surveillance
Monitor for new cases to determine if control measures are working.
Step 10: Communicate Findings
Report to stakeholders, health authorities, and the public. Write a final report.
Analytical Epidemiology: Cohort vs. Case-Control
For MCCQE1, you must choose the correct study design and calculate the appropriate measure of association.
Cohort Study
Best for: Defined populations (e.g., everyone at a banquet, residents of a nursing home).
Methodology:
- Identify the entire population at risk.
- Classify them by Exposure (Ate salad vs. Did not eat salad).
- Calculate Attack Rates (Incidence) in both groups.
Measure of Association: Relative Risk (RR).
RR = (Incidence in Exposed) / (Incidence in Unexposed)Interpretation: RR > 1 implies the exposure is a risk factor.
Epidemic Curves
Interpreting an “Epi Curve” is a high-yield skill for the MCCQE1.
Key Concept: The shape of the curve reveals the mode of transmission.
-
Point Source:
- Sharp rise and fall.
- Cases occur within one incubation period.
- Example: Staphylococcal food poisoning at a picnic.
-
Continuous Common Source:
- Rise to a plateau and stays elevated.
- Exposure is ongoing.
- Example: Contaminated municipal water supply (Walkerton, Ontario).
-
Propagated (Person-to-Person):
- Progressively taller peaks.
- Peaks are separated by the incubation period of the disease.
- Example: Measles or Influenza spread.
Canadian Guidelines and Legal Framework
Public Health Agency of Canada (PHAC)
PHAC is the federal agency responsible for public health, emergency preparedness, and response. However, healthcare delivery and direct outbreak management are primarily provincial/territorial responsibilities.
Reportable Diseases
In Canada, physicians have a legal duty to report specific communicable diseases to the local Medical Officer of Health (MOH).
- Federal: Quarantine Act (for international borders).
- Provincial: Public Health Acts (e.g., Health Protection and Promotion Act in Ontario).
Key Canadian Guidelines (Examples)
- Norovirus in Healthcare Facilities: Strict contact precautions, cohorting of staff/patients, and enhanced environmental cleaning (bleach). Alcohol-based hand rub is less effective against Norovirus; soap and water are preferred.
- Influenza in Long-Term Care: If an outbreak is declared (definition varies, typically 2+ cases within 48h), chemoprophylaxis (Oseltamivir) is often recommended for all non-ill residents regardless of vaccination status.
Key Points to Remember for MCCQE1
- Attack Rate Calculation:
- Food Poisoning Timelines:
- < 6 hours: Staph aureus or Bacillus cereus (preformed toxin).
- 12-24 hours: C. perfringens.
- 24-48 hours: Norovirus.
- Days: Salmonella, Campylobacter, E. coli.
- Priority: In a suspected outbreak, protecting public health (Step 8: Control Measures) often begins before the investigation is complete, especially if the source is obvious or the risk is high. However, if asked for the first step, it is usually to confirm/verify the outbreak.
Sample Question
Clinical Scenario
A 34-year-old family physician in rural Saskatchewan notices an unusual number of patients presenting with bloody diarrhea and severe abdominal cramps over a 48-hour period. Most patients report attending a local fall fair three days prior. One patient, an 8-year-old boy, has been hospitalized with signs of hemolytic uremic syndrome (HUS). The physician suspects an outbreak of E. coli O157:H7.
Which one of the following is the most appropriate initial step for the physician to take?
- A. Prescribe prophylactic antibiotics to all family members of the affected patients.
- B. Contact the organizers of the fall fair to shut down food vendors immediately.
- C. Report the suspected cases to the local public health authority.
- D. Conduct a case-control study to identify the specific food item responsible.
- E. Collect stool samples from all attendees of the fall fair to identify asymptomatic carriers.
Explanation
The correct answer is:
- C. Report the suspected cases to the local public health authority.
Detailed Explanation:
- C is correct: The physician’s primary legal and ethical responsibility (Health Advocate/Medical Expert) upon suspecting a reportable communicable disease outbreak is to notify the local public health authority (Medical Officer of Health). Public health authorities have the jurisdiction, resources, and legal mandate to investigate and manage outbreaks.
- A is incorrect: Antibiotics are generally contraindicated in E. coli O157:H7 infections because they may increase the release of Shiga toxin and precipitate Hemolytic Uremic Syndrome (HUS). Furthermore, prophylaxis is not the initial step.
- B is incorrect: While closing the source is a control measure, the physician does not have the legal authority to shut down vendors unilaterally. This is a function of public health inspectors/officials after an initial assessment.
- D is incorrect: Conducting a case-control study is part of the analytical epidemiology phase (Step 6) performed by public health epidemiologists, not the reporting clinician.
- E is incorrect: Testing all attendees is logistically impossible and unnecessary. Case finding focuses on symptomatic individuals first.
References
- Public Health Agency of Canada. (n.d.). Outbreak Investigation and Management. Retrieved from Canada.ca .
- Association of Faculties of Medicine of Canada (AFMC). (n.d.). AFMC Primer on Population Health. Chapter 11: Infectious Disease Control.
- Medical Council of Canada. (n.d.). MCCQE Part I Objectives: Population Health.
- Heymann, D. L. (Ed.). (2015). Control of Communicable Diseases Manual. American Public Health Association.